Posted by Junelli | June 29, 2006 2:24 PM
Filed Under Uncategorized

Last night I had a big night playing $5-$5 NL. There was one hand that I played particulaly well based on a good read of the situation.

The players were a standard mix of 2-3 nits, 2-3 strong players, and the rest were maniac gamblers. Over the course of the night, I had tried to avoid marginal situations and difficult decisions with these people because it was likely going to be for all my chips.

After 4 hours, I felt like I had a very good read on most of the players at the table and was cognizant of the rhythm of the game. During this time though, I was stuck. But I felt confident that I was going to book a profit at the end of the night, and I even sent a text message to McAndrew at 12:15am telling him that, “I’m gonna win tonight. I can feel it.” Of course, I said this while being stuck $200. Talk about wishful thinking!

This was my first time at this relatively new club near my house, but I recognized or knew about 80% of the players. Most of them are regulars at some of the other places I play. One Iranian guy in particular had a lot of money and was a gambler. He was constantly raising preflop (10x the BB). He liked to bet draws and also was caught bluffing on several occasions. He was stuck about 1,500 I think, and was clearly not playing well.

Late in the night, I got K7 on the button and was able to see a multiway flop for $15. The flop was K73 rainbow. I knew my top two pair was good, and when 5 people checked to me I bet $50 (about 2/3 the size of the pot). I was called by only the losse/aggressive Iranian.

The turn was an Ace. Clearly not the card I wanted to see, but I would still be ahead if he held a lone Ace. I was way behind if he held AK, A7, A3, etc.

He checked to me, and I quickly fired out $100. He called again, and at this point I started to worry about what he had. The pot was $275 and I was planning on checking the river if given the opportunity.

The river was a Q, making the board K73AQ. He hesitates for a brief moment and then leads out into me all-in for $475. Now I had a very tough decision.

I took an extremely long time thinking about what to do. I asked him if he called all the way with JT (i.e. rivering the nut straight). He didn’t answer.

I started going back through my memory of the hand so far, and his betting. I didn’t think he had a JT, becuase I felt confident he wouldn’t chase a runner runner straight. However, even if he did do that, I didn’t think he would lead out all-in for $475 into a $275 pot if he had made the nuts. His bet was very peculiar. Why didn’t he want to get some action on his hand? Up to this point, I had been immediately betting on all previous streets, and he had no reason to think I would stop at this point.

Did he have AK, AQ, KQ? I didn’t think so, because he would’ve raised me on the flop or turn. Thus far, he had been playing this hand very passively.

I also thought about my own table image. I had been playing extremely tight, and was generally folding 95% of the time. Several times I had made big bets, and then folded to a raise. It could be that he thinks he can push me out of the pot.

After going through all these scenarios in my head, I was genuinely perplexed by his bet. In my experience, if you’re perplexed by the way someone is acting, it’s usually because they’re bluffing. They’ve played a hand a certain way up until the end, and then they drastically switch gears and represent something that’s contrary to how they’ve been playing thus far. In other words, if something doesn’t smell right, it usually isn’t.

I call his all-in bet, and he immediately said “Good Call” and mucked his hand. I never even saw his cards. That was a nice $1,225 pot, and I felt really good about making a tough call.

Posted by Dr Fro | June 28, 2006 3:39 PM
Filed Under Uncategorized

From the mailbag:

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

From: Jane Fro
To: Dr Fro
Subject: busted
Date: 06/28/2006 11:14 AM

Here is something for your blog:

Busted!

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From: Aces
To: Dr Fro
Subject: An Emmy in the making..
Date: Sun, 25 Jun 2006 18:50:05 -0400 (EDT)

Thank you for your patronage. First off, we would like to welcome the DPD andSWAT to the list. I hope you enjoyed the action. BTW, do you have as many cops looking for this missing two year old as you sent over last night? Well, it was fun while it lasted and while it sucks for us, this has been going for 30+ years and will be forthe next 30+. Lastly, we are asking our players if they know apoker/vice friendly and experienced attorney. We have a few poker friendly lawyers butwe are really looking for one with extensive non-drugvice defense experience. Asian tan, 8 liner etc typeof cases.

Sincerely, Aces
Aces Deep in the heart of Dallas TX 75111

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

From: The Muirfield
To: Dr Fro
Subject: Thanks for you support
Date: Wed, 28 Jun 2006 12:14:29 -0400

We’re closed.

The Muirfield Society has closed its doors and we are in the process ofdisbanding the local chapter due to outside influences. We appreciate theparticipation and enthusiasm shown by all of our wonderful members. Likeyou, we are greatly saddened that it has come to this. Thanks to all foryour support these past four months!

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Pokerati weighed in.

Posted by Dr Fro | June 27, 2006 12:17 AM
Filed Under Uncategorized

Continuous improvement

I am not the best poker player in the world. I am above-average compared to the competition against which I play the most. Fortunately, this fact lends itself to winning more money than I lose, which is the basic goal in poker. Unfortunately, if I want to ever make some serious money at poker (and I do), I need to improve my game. I need to improve it a lot. A whole lot.

One thing I have noticed in poker and in life is that the first step toward improvement is simply admitting the need for improvement. My life was once a complete dead-end, and it was destined to continue that way because I was unwilling to admit that my previous decisions were bad decisions. Once I was willing to admit that there was a better way to live life – that my previous decisions were both wrong and reversible, I became open-minded. Over the course of a couple years, absolutely every single aspect of my life improved. The most obvious (but not necessarily the most profound) improvements were: losing 30 pounds, finishing a marathon, joining a church and dating (and eventually marrying) the greatest woman in world, Jane. Like most improvements, these improvements were contagious. That is, this step-change in my life only spawned more and more and better and better changes. It was a good time to be me.

I also went through a revolutionary change in my poker game around 1999. I stopped viewing poker as a gambling and started viewing poker as a game of skill. I recognized that only hard work and study would lead to winning results, and the result was very positive. The timing could not have been better as the poker boom was nigh and, I was prepared for the kill. I not only honed my general poker skills, I spent most of my timing mastering the art of sheering the sheep – a discipline that requires some very specialized poker skills.

My subsequent three year’s profitability was only surpassed by my last two year’s malaise. As discussed here before, I was slow on the take when the field changed from fish to solid poker players, and I consequently suffered. I made a few changes about a year ago that have helped. But alas, help is relative. I was doing better than I would have without the changes, but I was still well short of where I wanted to be. To rehash some old posts, those changes were:

  1. No longer assuming that all (or most) of my opponents were unskilled newbies ripe for the picking.
  2. Not drinking (well, not drinking during a real poker game. I am still unafraid of drinking heavily when the buy-in is less than I would tip in a real game.)
  3. Limiting online play and focusing on B&M play where my player-reading skills would be more handsomely rewarded and my general tendency toward boredom would be mitigated.

Lately, I have been trying to identify remaining leaks in my game. I had been unsuccessful at this identification for a while, but lately I have realized what these leaks are. I was a little bit surprised at their nature when I figured them out, but now that I have them figured out, I am going to be steadfast in my resolve to plug them. They are as follows:

    I don’t play well when I am losing. A lot of people don’t play well when they lose, and it would be erroneous to lump all causes in the same category. You have your Matusow Meltdown-types who take a bad beat and then completely implode. That ain’t me. I am not completely calloused, but I sincerely do not think that I am vulnerable to emotional meltdowns. So what is my issue with losing? My basic issue is that I still have a tendency to ring-fence results and get too concerned about whether I win or lose in any given session. If I buy in for $200 and find myself down to my last $40, I will play like an idiot who is intent on either going broke or winning big. This is poker suicide. Not only is it inherently stupid to play “tournament poker” in a cash game, there is another, bigger reason to not do this: your opponents catch on to your desperation and adjust accordingly. I have been aware of my “it’s better to burn out than to fade away” attitude for a while, but only recently have I pegged the root cause. The basic reason why I don’t just cash out, pack it up and go home when things aren’t going my way is simple: My busy life does not allow me to play all that often, and packing it up means missing an opportunity to play.
    I need to plug this leak in a bad way.

    SOLUTION 1: Walk away. When things aren’t going well, leave. Pack it up. When things are just starting to not go well, get up from the table, walk around, think about what makes sense from a long-term perspective on your bankroll. Stay focused on the long-term.

    SOLUTION 2 : Be Über-staked. One way to avoid the “gonna lose it all anyway” mentality is to have much more than you can possibly lose. I always have a sufficient ultimate bankroll* that is high relative to the stakes of the game, but my immediate bankroll (i.e. what is in my pocket for B&M or what is deposited online for online poker) is often insufficient to bear some early beatings. From now on, I will always walk into a gun fight with a bazooka. Maybe I won’t need it, but the gap between my immediate bankroll and my ultimate bankroll is wide and is causing some dysfunctional results. So, I’ll narrow the gap.

    I make it easy for opponents to trap me. I learned in “New Manager Training” five years ago that most weaknesses are actually over-applied strengths. If that is actually true, then my biggest strength (sensing weakness and attacking) is often over-applied and becomes one of my biggest weaknesses (attacking when I shouldn’t.) Good players recognize my “go for the kill” style and know to play possum when they figure to have me beat. Very good players will be patient over a couple of streets, waiting for me to bet, and they will wait for the check-raise until the river (when I am pot committed). This is absolute kryptonite to the professional poker player’s mantra of “tight but aggressive”, and I need to do something to address it.

    SOLUTION: Continue to be aggressive, but understand the risk that you are being played. Think through Mike Caro’s advice on tells and notice the difference between a tell that is intended to be noticed versus an inadvertent tell. Remember Harrington’s advice on probe bets only needing to be 30-40% of the pot (any thing higher achieves the same end with only bigger downside). Take every poker author’s advice on varying play so as to put doubt in your opponent’s mind that a slow play is a sure play against you. Let them know that you can also give up a pot.

    I am still very quick to get a feel on a game, but dang it if I ain’t the last one to notice when the game has changed. First impressions carry for sure, but with me they seem to carry the day. I am absolutely certain that I have earned more per hour in the first hour of each game I have played in than in all play after the first hour. I am hyper-alert when I sit down, but I fall into a poker trance and stop noticing my opponent’s behaviour. That needs to change.

    SOLUTION: The solution is clear, but implementation will be a challenge. Once an hour, I need to pretend as if I just sat down at the table for the first time. I do well at a casino where I keep getting bumped from the “must move” game. This forces me to refresh my view regularly. But, once I get to that main table, I fall asleep. It is very easy to beat a player that is asleep at the wheel. I need to stay alert.

So, there you have it. I have taken the first step and admitted I need help. Hopefully the second step was robust. That is, I hope I took an appropriate inventory of my leaks. Last, I hope that the identified solutions are the right solutions. We will see.

* To be clear on what I mean about “ultimate bankroll”… I have never been one to keep all my poker winnings in a shoebox and pull them out when I go play. I know the opening scene in Rounders makes this seem like a very cool way to live your poker life, but I find it a bit stupid. Personally, I manage my poker cash in the same way I manager non-poker cash: I keep x% in the checking account, y% invested in very liquid money market or similar short-term securities and the balance in investments with a long-term horizon. I know that one (of many reasons) that some players keep a physical bankroll is to avoid the risk of spending the winnings as well as to avoid the risk of gambling the rent money. Since my biggest winning and losing years represented 1.5% of my household earnings that year, I am not terribly concerned about either of these risks. Simply put, I don’t gamble all that much, so I keeping a poker fund seems less important than keeping a baby fund (which is proving to be more expensive than my poker habit!) Regardless, I have, as stated above, learned that being more liquid at the poker table has its advantages, so I will reduce the X, Y and Z percentages so as to increase my immediate poker bankroll.

Posted by Dr Fro | June 24, 2006 5:37 PM
Filed Under Uncategorized

Posted by Junelli | June 23, 2006 9:00 AM
Filed Under Uncategorized

Does anyone else wish they were there right now?

Posted by Junelli | June 20, 2006 4:39 PM
Filed Under Uncategorized

Several Puzzles. Let’s start with an easy one…

1. There are 6 eggs in a basket. Six people each take one egg. How can it be that one egg is left in the basket?

2. Acting on an anonymous phone call, the police raid a house to arrest a suspected murderer. They don’t know what he looks like, but they know his name is John. Inside they find a carpenter, a taxi driver, a car mechanic, and a fireman playing cards. Without even asking his name, they immediately arrest the fireman. How do they know they’ve got their man?

And now for the really hard one…
(supposedly authored by Albert Einstein)

There are 5 houses in 5 different colours. In each house lives a person of a different nationality. The 5 owners drink a certain type of beverage, smoke a certain brand of cigar, and keep a certain pet. Using the clues below can you determine who owns the fish?

The Brit lives in a red house.
The Swede keeps dogs as pets.
The Dane drinks tea.
The green house is on the immediate left of the white house.
The green house owner drinks coffee.
The person who smokes Pall Mall rears birds.
The owner of the yellow house smokes Dunhill.
The man living in the house right in the middle drinks milk.
The Norwegian lives in the first house.
The man who smokes Blend lives next door to the one who keeps cats.
The man who keeps horses lives next door to the man who smokes Dunhill.
The owner who smokes Blue Master drinks beer.
The German smokes Prince.
The Norwegian lives next to the blue house.
The man who smokes Blend has a neighbour who drinks water.

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